Considering the Fate of the U.S. Economy While on Pseudo-Vacation | Steadfast Finances

Considering the Fate of the U.S. Economy While on Pseudo-Vacation

Filed in Investing 101 3 comments

While taking some much needed, although probably not well deserved, R&R, I’ve been marveling at the lengths in which economists, investment managers and the financial pundits have stepped forward to voice their opinions, and defend the accuracy of their prognostications about the financial markets.

Mind you, I’m not paying all that much attention to the meat of their theses, but after viewing all of the conflicting ideas currently out there in print, financial TV and on the web, I’ve come to one all encompassing conclusion…

No one has a [bleep] clue what’s going to happen.

A few examples of what I’m talking about…

Case #1: Inflation vs. deflation

Person 1: Our biggest problem is inflation! (Buy gold!!!)

Person 2: No! It’s deflation. (Buy Treasury Bonds!!!)

Person 3: You fools! We’re simply deleveraging so expect cheaper goods. (And the government to spend a trillion bucks to slow it down as much as possible.)

[sounds of rabble rabble rabble]

Case #2: Government Stimulus Junkies vs. National Debt Hawks

Person 1: We need to stop spending and reduce our national debt.

Person 2: No, we need to inflate our way out of debt to pay for 30+ years of living beyond our means.

Person 3: Hello? We need to raise taxes on the wealthiest 1% to redistribute the wealth.

Person 4: Are you crazy? We need another trillion in government stimulus.

[sounds of rabble rabble rabble]

I suppose all this is to be expected since everyone has their two cents to give and conflicting opinions are what makes a market.

But as I talked with a random couple today about how they felt about the financial markets (usually what happens when I tell folks I’m an equities trader), I’m kind of thinking dropping all this conflicting financial knowledge on an unknowing and non-jargon speaking public could actually be more harmful than helpful. Too much information leads to information overload, which then leads to doing nothing… but staying the present course.

If you enjoyed this post, make sure you subscribe to my RSS feed!
Posted by Corey   @   6 July 2010 3 comments
Tags :

3 Comments

Comments
Jul 8, 2010
12:02 am
#1 Evan :

You know what I hate even worse when they obviously load the panel so you get 3 vs 1 and a condescending host!

Jul 8, 2010
11:06 am
#2 Matt SF :

Same here… sounds like half (being generous) of every CNBC interview I’ve seen in the last decade.

Jul 10, 2010
9:24 am

I really actually think the good times are back.

Banks are lending again. Spreads have narrowed tremendously. Earnings are getting upgraded.

I’m very bullish. I just don’t listen to ANY pundits. I just observe with my eyes.

Best,

Sam

Leave a Comment

Name

Email

Website

Previous Post
«
Next Post
»