Unsophisticated, Cold Climate, and ‘Backwoods’ States have Lower Foreclosure Rates

Filed in Financial Planning , Real Estate 6 comments

Being one that is easily fascinated by consumer psychology and social trends, I noticed a few interesting correlations that appears to exist in the latest round of foreclosure numbers.

It would appear that foreclosure rates are substantially lower in states with a blue collar image, share a border with Canada, or have a backwoods stereotype.

A few possible correlations stand out to me:

  1. The Backwoods Stereotype. When was the last time you heard of someone moving to the heart of the Appalachian Mountains (e.g. West Virginia) for the intellectual superiority factor. Could this apply to other states like Wyoming or Montana as well?
  2. Colder Climates. Four of the five states have fairly tough winters. Could this be something that influences their financial planning or force them to pay more attention to their finances?
  3. The Canadian Influence? Four out of the five states listed here share a border with Canada. Do the Canadians know something about personal finance and fiscal responsibility we Americans might need to learn?
  4. Isolation requires foresight and planning. Some would argue that if you’re going to live in a more isolated place, like the quintessential Vermont cabin or a ranch in Montana, you’re probably pretty good at planning ahead and having the foresight to avoid future problems. Whether that be having enough firewood to last the winter, or having enough money in your savings account, both require adequate planning. If this is the case, could a conservative 3-6-3 banker or P2P investor get a better ROI by cherry picking residents of these states?
  5. The Superiority Complex? States like California, New York and Florida occasionally give off an arrogant tone when their residents claim they have the most enlightened cities, best schools or best climate in the U.S. Could this arrogance have overly influenced advertising and became a catalyst in their real estate bubble.

Anything in this graph stand out to you that I might have missed or glossed over? If you live in one of the five states highlighted for your fiscal responsibility, can you identify a cultural or fiscal difference in your spending habits compared to a state who has a high foreclosure rate?

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Posted by Matt SF   @   16 October 2009 6 comments
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6 Comments

Comments
Oct 16, 2009
4:37 pm

My guess is that the high foreclosure states are the destination places. People wanted to live there for good jobs, nice weather, and were willing to take out big loans to live the dream. Low foreclosure states just didn’t have as much to pull in new residents, possibly. Though I would like to check out Vermont at some point.

[Reply]

Oct 22, 2009
11:18 am
#2 Joe Morgan :

My guess is that these places saw much less speculation due to the fact that the people living in such places are buying homes because they need a place to live, not for investment’s sake.

[Reply]

Oct 22, 2009
11:45 am
#3 Matt SF :

@ RetSav

I think you’re right… beach bunnies in Florida has more appeal than the Polar Bear Club of North Dakota (assuming they have a charter). :)

[Reply]

Oct 22, 2009
11:48 am
#4 Matt SF :

@ Joe

Yeah, sounds like it’s not a 1 to 1 correlation since I’m trying to identify one single causative agent.

An old colleague of mine bought an investment property in Las Vegas for the simple reason that “everyone else was buying one”, so I suppose the investing herd mentality suppressed their common sense.

[Reply]

Feb 7, 2010
12:03 am

Being from Wisconsin I saw that foreclosure rates were significantly lower there as well. Back home everyone is more conservative, they tend to not be as flashy, and they actually say hi to you on the streets. Just a more small town feel that encourages simple living and isn’t impressed with yachts and Mercedes, which is refreshing. Being old school payed off in the current market.

[Reply]

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